Is Fiscal Deficit good?


Fiscal Deficit-Need and Implications

Is FD good or bad?

Fiscal deficit is bridged by market borrowings and central bank printing fresh currency (monetization). To a limited extent, FD is important as the Government’s ability to help growth and welfare increases. Government can always return the loans when its revenues improve due to tax buoyancy. However, FD becomes problematic and even destabilizing when it overshoots a rational threshold.

Large deficits, even if they do not spill over into macroeconomic instability in the short run, will require higher taxes in the long term to cover the heavy burden of internal debt. It means the inter-generational parity is hurt if debt mounts as future generations will have to pay higher taxes to help the government repay the debt.

The implications of fiscal deficit are as follows:

1. Debt Trap: Fiscal deficit indicates the total borrowing requirements of the government. Borrowings not only involve repayment of principal amount, but also require payment of interest. Interest payments increase the revenue expenditure, which leads to revenue deficit. It creates a vicious circle of fiscal deficit and revenue deficit, wherein government takes more loans to repay the earlier loans. As a result, country is caught in a debt trap.
2. Inflation: Government mainly borrows from Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to meet its fiscal deficit. RBI prints new currency to meet the deficit requirements. It increases the money supply in the economy and creates inflationary pressure.
3. Hampers the future growth: Borrowings increase the financial burden for future generations. It adversely affects the future growth and development prospects of the country.

Case: Grexit

Greece government borrowed recklessly and was not exercising discipline in tax collection and spending. In 2009 December, Greece's credit rating was downgraded by one of world's three leading rating agencies amid fears the government could default on its ballooning debt.

In the year 2007, Greece debt as a percentage of GDP was near 100%. By the year 2014, it hit 175%. This explains the reckless borrowings done by the Greece government.

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